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Coronavirus- Applications of our Tecniques

Our mathematical model published in December 2021 has been making accurate forecasts of Covid-19 hospital admissions in England through three Omicron outbreaks since then. Had it been discovered even two years earlier, the pandemic response would have been totally transformed—undoubtedly saving many lives.

Predicting Covid-19 Hospital Admissions in England -Update 31 August 2022

The Extended Gompertz Function model uses observed data to predict the course of Covid-19 waves with sufficient accuracy to plan for healthcare demands. It can be used for Covid-19 cases, hospital admissions, ICU admissions and deaths. We illustrate it here for hospital admissions as these are reliable indicators.